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Plenty of Games Win-a-Dual 26th Oct 24 – Analysis

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On the 26th of October 2024, 58 players battled it out over six rounds to try and win a Tropical Island. Thank you to the staff and judges, and congrats to Chifley for taking it down!

This event was smaller than Canbrawl 4 and attracted less interstate players, and so I’ll keep it simpler than that event. The accompanying video to this article can be found here. You can view the spreadsheets and raw data here. As always, there will be a summary at the bottom.

Here are the decklists.

The Stats

Pointed Cards

Below are all the pointed cards with at least 6 appearances, or >10% of the room.

Here are the cards that cost the players the most points.

The cards that were bought that cost more than 1 point were WPA, Lutri, Sol Ring, Lurrus, Time Walk, Minsc and Boo, Ragavan and Thassa’s Oracle. This is a large movement from Canbrawl4, as it appears more players were willing to spend points on more impactful cards.

Below are the pointed cards that appeared in Top 8, along with the number of copies. Once again, 4 copies appeared of the most played cards, with a much flatter spread across the board.

Some familiar faces reappeared, including Broadside Bombardiers, Forth Eorlingas! and Karakas.

Here are the Conversion Factors for Top 8 pointed cards. Here we can see that the combo decks performed better than the Initiative decks overall, and more outliers (due to a smaller sample size).

Notable achievers were Intuition, Dreadhorde Arcanist, Underworld Breach, Vampiric Tutor, Tainted Pact and Thassa’s Oracle.

All Cards

Here are the most played Mainboard cards, with at least 17 copies or a hair above 30%.

Here are the most played sideboard cards, with at least 8 copies.

Summary

Lurrus Breach and Thoracle had very good performances for the field. Initiative underperformed the most out of archetypes with a significant showing.

The Blue and Black cards performed much better than at Canbrawl4, which was populated largely by Red and White cards at the higher levels.

The ten most played pointed cards were Force of Will, Forth Eorlingas!, Reanimate, White Plume Adventurer, Broadside Bombardiers, Deathrite Shaman, Karakas, Ancient Tomb, Orcish Bowmasters and Seasoned Dungeoneer. The only difference from Canbrawl4 is the replacement of Murktide Regent with White Plume Adventurer.

The ten most played mainboard cards (excluding lands) were: Mental Misstep, Lightning Bolt, Brainstorm, Fable of the Mirror-Breaker, Ponder, Gitaxian Probe, Preordain, Thoughtseize, Mishra’s Bauble and Swords to Plowshares. Fury was replaced with Mishra’s Bauble. but otherwise the other nine remained the same, albeit in a different order.

The ten most played sideboard cards were: Pyroblast, Red Elemental Blast, Blue Elemental Blast, Hydroblast, Unlicensed Hearse, Submerge, Brotherhood’s End, Duress, Ghost Vacuum and Carpet of Flowers. Only Ghost Vacuum and Carpet of Flowers were newcomers, replacing Ashiok, Dream Render and Energy Flux.

See you all at the RC!

Voltie

Voltie

Melbourne based MtG grinder, content creator and Committee member. Youtuber, L2 Judge, Twitch streamer and multiple PT attendee.